Exxon's internal climate models from the 1970s were more accurate than NASA's — scoring up to 99% — while they publicly denied climate change — documented evidence
🟢 CONFIRMED

A Harvard-led analysis published in Science found that between 1977 and 2003, Exxon scientists' global warming projections were 'shocking' in their accuracy: 63-83% of projections matched actual temperatures, with the best scoring 99%. For comparison, James Hansen's famous 1988 NASA testimony scored 38-66%. Exxon correctly predicted warming of ~0.2C per decade, that human-caused warming would be detectable by 2000 (plus or minus 5 years), and dismissed the possibility of a coming ice age. Despite this, Exxon publicly took out ads claiming climate science was 'poorly understood.'

Exxon's internal climate models from the 1970s were more accurate than NASA's — scoring up to 99% — while they publicly denied climate change

ENV·September 16, 2015·By Koch Brothers Critics / Climate Scientists·4.3K upvotes·135 comments
What They Said Was Crazy
Exxon's own scientists predicted global warming with remarkable precision decades ago. They knew exactly what was coming and chose to spend millions sowing doubt instead of acting.
Koch Brothers Critics / Climate ScientistsSeptember 16, 2015Source

📄 The Receipts

Exxon predicted warming with shocking accuracy (Harvard)
news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/01/harvard-led...
ARTICLEOpen
Assessing ExxonMobil projections (Science)
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abk0063
DOCUMENTOpen

⚖️ The Record, Side by Side

What they said vs. what the evidence shows

What They Said

No recorded dismissals for this claim.

What Actually Happened
ARTICLE

Exxon predicted warming with shocking accuracy (Harvard)

DOCUMENT

Assessing ExxonMobil projections (Science)

⏳ The Vindication Timeline

From “crazy” to confirmed

The Claim Is Made

This is the moment they called it crazy.

Confirmed: They Were Right

The truth comes out. Officially documented.

📊 How Right We Were

Evidence strength
2/10
Source diversity
5/10
Community consensus100% agree

The People Speak(135)

No one's said anything yet. Be the first to drop your take.

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